EPI8-1: The Quality Of Measurements: Precision Or Random Variation And Bias Or Systematic Variation
 

OBJECTIVES

At the end of this session you should:
  • understand the key aspects of the quality of measurement - whether of occurrence or effect;
  • understand the difference between random and systematic variation and their implications for what is measured;
  • be able to classify broad types of bias;
  • be able to apply an approach to the detection of bias in research results that is both comprehensive and second-nature.
  • know how to test for precision involving agreement between repeat measurements of a dichotomous (Yes/No) variable using the Kappa statistic and between repeat measurements of continuous variables using Pearson's correlation coefficient;
  • understand the main sources of variation - both random and systematic - and to look carefully for such sources when performing a study or when interpreting the studies of others.

PRECISION OR RANDOM VARIATION AND BIAS OR SYSTEMATIC VARIATION:

The quality of measurement has two principal aspects which relate to the precision of the measurement - whether there is little dispersion (precise) or much dispersion (less precise) of measurements about the measure of central tendency (mean, median). In epidemiology this is termed the interval estimate of a measure.the validity of the measurement - whether the summary measure or measure of central tendency (in epidemiology the term point estimate is used), is near the true value that one is trying to measure or estimate.

Here validity is defined as the extent to which a measurement measures what it intends to measure and not something else. The concept of validity reflects how "true" the measurement is. The Target diagram illustrates the distinct concepts of precision and validity. The centre or bullseye is the "truth". Although one can get good validity with both high and low precision, low validity may be either precisely measured or with poor precision.

DEFINITIONS OF PRECISION AND VALIDITY:

There is quite a bit of confusion about the meaning of Precision, Reliability, Repeatability and Reproducibility in the text books.

The main thing one is trying to measure is random variability i.e. that part of the variability that is due to chance as opposed to sources of variability that are systematic or due to bias.

The preferred term in modern epidemiology for the extent to which similar information is elicited when the measurement is repeated is precision. When it comes to the other three "R"s they mean slightly different things. Broadly Reliability and Repeatability refer to multiple measurements taken within a narrow time period being not too widely dispersed, while reproducibility refers to another set of similar measurements being done somewhere else by someone else at a different point in time.

Validity or lack of bias on the other hand means the extent to which your measurement actually measures what it is intended to measure (the "truth"). This term too is used quite loosely in the textbooks and literature and has several meanings when it is typically used.




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